Scouting Report
Frans Nielsen holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Nielsen on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Nielsen wins 43.4% vs right-shot opponents — Schmaltz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nielsen 46.7% vs Schmaltz 41.2% (+6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nielsen 68.4%
Defensive zone
Nielsen 91.0%
Neutral zone
Nielsen 85.1%
Result
Frans Nielsen favored at 86.7%
86.7%
13.3%
Nielsen
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
0
(8 meetings)
8
0
Nielsen
Schmaltz
Last 8: Nielsen 8-0 Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nielsen
1
0
Nielsen
Schmaltz
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nielsen
5
0
Nielsen
Schmaltz
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nielsen
2
0
Nielsen
Schmaltz
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nielsen
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (836)
39.5% (658)
+8.1%
Power Play
53.2% (47)
41.3% (92)
+11.9%
Penalty Kill
38.0% (158)
45.1% (51)
-7.1%
On power play, Nielsen has a +11.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Nielsen is 43.4% vs right-shot opponents (445).
Nielsen shoots left. Schmaltz is 37.9% vs left-shot opponents (528).
Home / Away
Nielsen
Schmaltz
Home
50.4% (508)
40.8% (424)
Away
42.6% (533)
39.3% (377)
By Period
Nielsen
Schmaltz
P1
48.1%
38.4%
P2
44.6%
40.7%
P3
46.8%
41.0%
OT
33.3%
40.0%
Final 5 min
48.2%
42.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
46.4%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
40.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2018 | 3 | 00:34 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 2 | 11:52 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 2 | 11:31 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 1 | 16:38 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 1 | 03:32 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 1 | 03:19 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Jan 14, 2018 | 3 | 01:10 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Jan 14, 2018 | 1 | 18:37 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |