Scouting Report
Nick Spaling holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Spaling on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nielsen 48.5% vs Spaling 49.9% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Spaling leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Nielsen 52.5%
Defensive zone
Nielsen 51.1%
Neutral zone
Nielsen 51.6%
Result
Frans Nielsen favored at 51.5%
51.5%
48.5%
Nielsen
Spaling
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
7
(13 meetings)
6
7
Nielsen
Spaling
Last 10: Nielsen 5-5 Spaling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Nielsen
Spaling
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nielsen
5
2
Nielsen
Spaling
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spaling
0
4
Nielsen
Spaling
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nielsen
Spaling
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (7,608)
50.5% (2,263)
-1.2%
Power Play
54.7% (594)
43.4% (53)
+11.3%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (1,420)
48.0% (498)
-6.3%
On power play, Nielsen has a +11.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spaling shoots left. Nielsen is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,996).
Nielsen shoots left. Spaling is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,835).
Home / Away
Nielsen
Spaling
Home
49.9% (4,766)
51.9% (1,437)
Away
47.1% (4,890)
47.8% (1,378)
By Period
Nielsen
Spaling
P1
49.7%
49.8%
P2
47.6%
48.3%
P3
48.2%
52.0%
OT
46.6%
40.0%
Final 5 min
48.7%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.5%
Spaling
58.0%▲
53.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2014 | 3 | 01:21 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 21, 2014 | 2 | 17:41 | Offensive | Nick Spaling |
| Oct 18, 2014 | 1 | 14:16 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Oct 18, 2014 | 1 | 07:21 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 18, 2014 | 1 | 04:43 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 12, 2013 | 2 | 04:51 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 12, 2013 | 1 | 17:23 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Nov 12, 2013 | 1 | 17:19 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Jan 16, 2012 | 3 | 16:44 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Jan 16, 2012 | 3 | 09:18 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Jan 16, 2012 | 1 | 13:18 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Dec 13, 2010 | 3 | 17:43 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Dec 13, 2010 | 2 | 14:45 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |