Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.2% vs 48.3%). Look for Nielsen on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nielsen 48.3% vs Spaling 48.9% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spaling 66.7%
Defensive zone
Nielsen 71.9%
Neutral zone
Spaling 59.1%
Result
Frans Nielsen favored at 58.0%
58.0%
42.0%
Nielsen
Spaling
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Nielsen
Spaling
Last 5: Nielsen 3-2 Spaling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spaling
0
1
Nielsen
Spaling
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nielsen
3
0
Nielsen
Spaling
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spaling
0
1
Nielsen
Spaling
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nielsen
Spaling
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (841)
47.1% (155)
+2.4%
Power Play
54.1% (37)
50.0% (4)
+4.1%
Penalty Kill
40.7% (172)
60.0% (15)
-19.3%
On penalty kill, Spaling has a +19.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spaling shoots left. Nielsen is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (662).
Nielsen shoots left. Spaling is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (115).
Home / Away
Nielsen
Spaling
Home
51.2% (510)
47.2% (108)
Away
45.4% (540)
50.0% (66)
By Period
Nielsen
Spaling
P1
48.6%
43.6%
P2
47.4%
41.9%
P3
48.9%
59.3%
OT
40.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
51.5%
45.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.2%
Spaling
58.0%▲
53.0%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2014 | 3 | 01:21 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 21, 2014 | 2 | 17:41 | Offensive | Nick Spaling |
| Oct 18, 2014 | 1 | 14:16 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Oct 18, 2014 | 1 | 07:21 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 18, 2014 | 1 | 04:43 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |