Scouting Report
Frans Nielsen holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Jokinen on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nielsen 48.5% vs Jokinen 46.4% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Jokinen leads 12-11 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Jokinen 67.1%
Defensive zone
Nielsen 61.3%
Neutral zone
Jokinen 53.4%
Result
Olli Jokinen favored at 53.7%
46.3%
53.7%
Nielsen
Jokinen
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
12
(23 meetings)
11
12
Nielsen
Jokinen
Last 10: Nielsen 4-6 Jokinen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jokinen
1
6
Nielsen
Jokinen
7 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Nielsen
Jokinen
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nielsen
7
3
Nielsen
Jokinen
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nielsen
Jokinen
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (7,608)
45.8% (3,924)
+3.5%
Power Play
54.7% (594)
50.8% (585)
+3.9%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (1,420)
42.9% (247)
-1.2%
On power play, Nielsen has a +3.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jokinen shoots left. Nielsen is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,996).
Nielsen shoots left. Jokinen is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (3,240).
Home / Away
Nielsen
Jokinen
Home
49.9% (4,766)
47.4% (2,345)
Away
47.1% (4,890)
45.3% (2,443)
By Period
Nielsen
Jokinen
P1
49.7%
45.6%
P2
47.6%
47.5%
P3
48.2%
45.4%
OT
46.6%
56.1%
Final 5 min
48.7%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.5%
Jokinen
38.0%▼
42.5%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2014 | 3 | 15:15 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |
| Mar 4, 2014 | 2 | 17:23 | Defensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Mar 4, 2014 | 2 | 10:05 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 4, 2014 | 1 | 17:30 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 27, 2013 | 2 | 19:10 | Defensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Apr 2, 2013 | 2 | 09:56 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Apr 2, 2013 | 2 | 02:26 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Apr 2, 2013 | 1 | 18:14 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |
| Apr 2, 2013 | 1 | 02:40 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |
| Jan 27, 2013 | 3 | 12:15 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Jan 27, 2013 | 2 | 13:56 | Defensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Jan 27, 2013 | 2 | 08:38 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Jan 27, 2013 | 2 | 03:33 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Jan 27, 2013 | 1 | 19:57 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Jan 27, 2013 | 1 | 19:52 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Jan 27, 2013 | 1 | 05:13 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Dec 29, 2011 | 2 | 03:04 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Dec 29, 2011 | 1 | 19:56 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Dec 29, 2011 | 1 | 19:35 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Dec 29, 2011 | 1 | 04:35 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |