Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.0% vs 47.6%). Look for Jokinen on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Nielsen wins 45.7% vs left-shot opponents — Jokinen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nielsen 48.3% vs Jokinen 47.9% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Jokinen leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Jokinen 82.4%
Defensive zone
Nielsen 66.6%
Neutral zone
Jokinen 56.3%
Result
Olli Jokinen favored at 62.0%
38.0%
62.0%
Nielsen
Jokinen
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
8
(11 meetings)
3
8
Nielsen
Jokinen
Last 10: Nielsen 2-8 Jokinen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jokinen
0
5
Nielsen
Jokinen
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nielsen
2
1
Nielsen
Jokinen
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jokinen
1
2
Nielsen
Jokinen
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nielsen
Jokinen
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (392)
46.8% (566)
+3.2%
Power Play
65.0% (20)
53.4% (58)
+11.6%
Penalty Kill
40.4% (146)
80.0% (5)
-39.6%
On penalty kill, Jokinen has a +39.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jokinen shoots left. Nielsen is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (293).
Nielsen shoots left. Jokinen is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (416).
Home / Away
Nielsen
Jokinen
Home
48.9% (274)
49.5% (319)
Away
47.2% (284)
45.7% (311)
By Period
Nielsen
Jokinen
P1
47.9%
49.1%
P2
49.7%
47.9%
P3
46.3%
46.4%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
47.2%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.0%
Jokinen
38.0%▼
42.5%
47.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2013 | 2 | 09:56 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Apr 2, 2013 | 2 | 02:26 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Apr 2, 2013 | 1 | 18:14 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |
| Apr 2, 2013 | 1 | 02:40 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |
| Jan 27, 2013 | 3 | 12:15 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Jan 27, 2013 | 2 | 13:56 | Defensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Jan 27, 2013 | 2 | 08:38 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Jan 27, 2013 | 2 | 03:33 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Jan 27, 2013 | 1 | 19:57 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Jan 27, 2013 | 1 | 19:52 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Jan 27, 2013 | 1 | 05:13 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |