Scouting Report
Frans Nielsen holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Nielsen on defensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 14 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nielsen 48.5% vs Elias 42.7% (+6.0%)
H2H factor
Nielsen leads 21-19 in 40 meetings
Offensive zone
Nielsen 57.0%
Defensive zone
Nielsen 73.9%
Neutral zone
Nielsen 69.9%
Result
Frans Nielsen favored at 67.8%
67.8%
32.2%
Nielsen
Elias
Head-to-Head Record
21
-
19
(40 meetings)
21
19
Nielsen
Elias
Last 10: Nielsen 4-6 Elias
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Elias
4
7
Nielsen
Elias
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nielsen
10
4
Nielsen
Elias
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Elias
7
8
Nielsen
Elias
15 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nielsen
Elias
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (7,608)
42.3% (2,591)
+7.0%
Power Play
54.7% (594)
48.4% (405)
+6.3%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (1,420)
36.0% (367)
+5.7%
On even strength, Nielsen has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Elias shoots left. Nielsen is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,996).
Nielsen shoots left. Elias is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,229).
Home / Away
Nielsen
Elias
Home
49.9% (4,766)
43.2% (1,683)
Away
47.1% (4,890)
41.7% (1,725)
By Period
Nielsen
Elias
P1
49.7%
41.1%
P2
47.6%
43.1%
P3
48.2%
43.0%
OT
46.6%
43.2%
Final 5 min
48.7%
40.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.5%
Elias
40.0%▲
37.5%
42.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2015 | 3 | 00:29 | Defensive | Patrik Elias |
| Nov 29, 2014 | 3 | 16:50 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 29, 2014 | 2 | 00:25 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Apr 11, 2014 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 29, 2014 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Mar 29, 2014 | 2 | 16:48 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Mar 29, 2014 | 2 | 02:01 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Mar 29, 2014 | 1 | 06:11 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 4, 2013 | 1 | 07:50 | Defensive | Patrik Elias |
| Oct 4, 2013 | 1 | 03:54 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 16, 2013 | 3 | 07:27 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Feb 3, 2013 | 3 | 07:32 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Jan 31, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Jan 31, 2013 | 1 | 12:42 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Jan 31, 2013 | 1 | 02:51 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 3 | 01:13 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 1 | 04:28 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Apr 3, 2012 | 3 | 05:58 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 10, 2012 | 3 | 18:29 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Mar 10, 2012 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |