Scouting Report
Frans Nielsen holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Nielsen on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Nielsen wins 45.7% vs left-shot opponents — Elias shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nielsen 48.3% vs Elias 46.0% (+4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Elias 63.5%
Defensive zone
Nielsen 81.0%
Neutral zone
Nielsen 60.4%
Result
Frans Nielsen favored at 59.0%
59.0%
41.0%
Nielsen
Elias
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Nielsen
Elias
Last 7: Nielsen 4-3 Elias
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Elias
1
2
Nielsen
Elias
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nielsen
3
0
Nielsen
Elias
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Elias
0
1
Nielsen
Elias
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nielsen
Elias
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (392)
40.0% (100)
+10.0%
Power Play
65.0% (20)
53.1% (49)
+11.9%
Penalty Kill
40.4% (146)
35.7% (14)
+4.7%
On power play, Nielsen has a +11.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Elias shoots left. Nielsen is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (293).
Nielsen shoots left. Elias is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (106).
Home / Away
Nielsen
Elias
Home
48.9% (274)
46.2% (78)
Away
47.2% (284)
41.2% (85)
By Period
Nielsen
Elias
P1
47.9%
44.0%
P2
49.7%
50.0%
P3
46.3%
36.4%
OT
50.0%
28.6%
Final 5 min
47.2%
36.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.0%
Elias
40.0%▲
37.5%
43.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2013 | 3 | 07:27 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Feb 3, 2013 | 3 | 07:32 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Jan 31, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Jan 31, 2013 | 1 | 12:42 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Jan 31, 2013 | 1 | 02:51 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 3 | 01:13 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 1 | 04:28 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |