Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on offensive-zone draws (62% H2H, 26 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nielsen 48.5% vs Stastny 55.1% (-6.6%)
H2H factor
Stastny leads 32-22 in 54 meetings
Offensive zone
Nielsen 82.6%
Defensive zone
Nielsen 74.5%
Neutral zone
Nielsen 80.8%
Result
Frans Nielsen favored at 80.5%
80.5%
19.5%
Nielsen
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
22
-
32
(54 meetings)
22
32
Nielsen
Stastny
Last 10: Nielsen 4-6 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
10
16
Nielsen
Stastny
26 total
Defensive Zone
Even
5
5
Nielsen
Stastny
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
7
11
Nielsen
Stastny
18 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nielsen
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (7,608)
54.6% (10,616)
-5.3%
Power Play
54.7% (594)
59.1% (1,994)
-4.4%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (1,420)
52.9% (1,119)
-11.2%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +11.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Nielsen is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,996).
Nielsen shoots left. Stastny is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (8,871).
Home / Away
Nielsen
Stastny
Home
49.9% (4,766)
55.9% (7,073)
Away
47.1% (4,890)
54.3% (6,705)
By Period
Nielsen
Stastny
P1
49.7%
56.3%
P2
47.6%
55.4%
P3
48.2%
53.5%
OT
46.6%
62.9%
Final 5 min
48.7%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.5%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2019 | 2 | 01:06 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 23, 2019 | 3 | 19:00 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 23, 2019 | 3 | 18:45 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 2, 2018 | 3 | 16:52 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 2, 2018 | 3 | 14:10 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 2, 2018 | 3 | 00:57 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 2, 2018 | 2 | 07:35 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Dec 9, 2017 | 3 | 16:55 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Dec 9, 2017 | 3 | 14:40 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 9, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 27, 2016 | 3 | 19:38 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 27, 2016 | 3 | 07:51 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 27, 2016 | 2 | 08:57 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 27, 2016 | 2 | 08:57 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 27, 2016 | 2 | 08:50 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 27, 2016 | 1 | 16:36 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 27, 2016 | 1 | 11:47 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 27, 2016 | 1 | 03:23 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 27, 2016 | 1 | 00:49 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Dec 4, 2015 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |