Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nielsen 49.3% vs Johansen 52.6% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Johansen leads 10-2 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Nielsen 59.0%
Defensive zone
Nielsen 71.9%
Neutral zone
Nielsen 65.1%
Result
Frans Nielsen favored at 64.8%
64.8%
35.2%
Nielsen
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
10
(12 meetings)
2
10
Nielsen
Johansen
Last 10: Nielsen 1-9 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
4
Nielsen
Johansen
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nielsen
2
1
Nielsen
Johansen
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
5
Nielsen
Johansen
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nielsen
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (856)
52.5% (1,002)
-1.4%
Power Play
50.0% (38)
56.1% (198)
-6.1%
Penalty Kill
41.1% (190)
49.5% (111)
-8.4%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Nielsen is 51.6% vs right-shot opponents (426).
Nielsen shoots left. Johansen is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (864).
Home / Away
Nielsen
Johansen
Home
51.0% (510)
54.7% (632)
Away
47.7% (574)
51.0% (679)
By Period
Nielsen
Johansen
P1
53.0%
54.3%
P2
45.4%
53.5%
P3
49.5%
50.9%
OT
50.0%
45.5%
Final 5 min
46.7%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.3%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2014 | 3 | 11:56 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Apr 6, 2014 | 1 | 18:50 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Apr 6, 2014 | 1 | 11:38 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 23, 2014 | 3 | 11:21 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 23, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 23, 2014 | 1 | 11:00 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 23, 2014 | 1 | 05:52 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 23, 2014 | 1 | 03:00 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 9, 2013 | 2 | 08:28 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 9, 2013 | 1 | 16:14 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 5, 2013 | OT | 01:59 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 5, 2013 | 1 | 04:15 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |