Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on defensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 24 meetings). Nielsen wins 47.0% vs right-shot opponents — Kesler shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nielsen 48.5% vs Kesler 55.9% (-7.5%)
H2H factor
Kesler leads 32-23 in 55 meetings
Offensive zone
Nielsen 81.3%
Defensive zone
Nielsen 76.8%
Neutral zone
Nielsen 84.5%
Result
Frans Nielsen favored at 80.2%
80.2%
19.8%
Nielsen
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
23
-
32
(55 meetings)
23
32
Nielsen
Kesler
Last 10: Nielsen 1-9 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
8
9
Nielsen
Kesler
17 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
9
15
Nielsen
Kesler
24 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
6
8
Nielsen
Kesler
14 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nielsen
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (7,608)
56.4% (8,095)
-7.1%
Power Play
54.7% (594)
60.7% (1,437)
-6.0%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (1,420)
50.5% (1,908)
-8.8%
On penalty kill, Kesler has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Nielsen is 47.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,660).
Nielsen shoots left. Kesler is 56.1% vs left-shot opponents (7,986).
Home / Away
Nielsen
Kesler
Home
49.9% (4,766)
57.2% (5,732)
Away
47.1% (4,890)
54.7% (5,751)
By Period
Nielsen
Kesler
P1
49.7%
56.5%
P2
47.6%
55.9%
P3
48.2%
56.1%
OT
46.6%
46.0%
Final 5 min
48.7%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.5%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2019 | 1 | 04:55 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 16, 2018 | 2 | 01:22 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 16, 2018 | 1 | 01:47 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 13, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 13, 2018 | 2 | 16:18 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 13, 2018 | 2 | 12:10 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 13, 2018 | 2 | 11:50 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 13, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 13, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 4, 2017 | 3 | 11:46 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 4, 2017 | 3 | 11:32 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Dec 17, 2016 | 3 | 19:00 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Dec 17, 2016 | 3 | 17:17 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 17, 2016 | 3 | 04:51 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Dec 17, 2016 | 2 | 14:24 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Dec 17, 2016 | 2 | 13:08 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 17, 2016 | 1 | 18:55 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 17, 2016 | 1 | 18:42 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Dec 17, 2016 | 1 | 18:17 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 17, 2016 | 1 | 12:41 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |