Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Nielsen wins 43.4% vs right-shot opponents — Kesler shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nielsen 46.7% vs Kesler 52.9% (-6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nielsen 72.4%
Defensive zone
Nielsen 74.6%
Neutral zone
Nielsen 73.3%
Result
Frans Nielsen favored at 73.2%
73.2%
26.8%
Nielsen
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
8
(8 meetings)
0
8
Nielsen
Kesler
Last 8: Nielsen 0-8 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
3
Nielsen
Kesler
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
1
Nielsen
Kesler
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
4
Nielsen
Kesler
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nielsen
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (836)
55.2% (567)
-7.6%
Power Play
53.2% (47)
54.9% (51)
-1.7%
Penalty Kill
38.0% (158)
45.0% (131)
-7.0%
On even strength, Kesler has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Nielsen is 43.4% vs right-shot opponents (445).
Nielsen shoots left. Kesler is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (516).
Home / Away
Nielsen
Kesler
Home
50.4% (508)
55.7% (388)
Away
42.6% (533)
50.8% (362)
By Period
Nielsen
Kesler
P1
48.1%
56.3%
P2
44.6%
52.5%
P3
46.8%
52.6%
OT
33.3%
35.3%
Final 5 min
48.2%
60.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
46.4%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
53.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2018 | 2 | 01:22 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 16, 2018 | 1 | 01:47 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 13, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 13, 2018 | 2 | 16:18 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 13, 2018 | 2 | 12:10 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 13, 2018 | 2 | 11:50 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 13, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 13, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |