Scouting Report
Frans Nielsen holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Nielsen on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Nielsen wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Spooner shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nielsen 50.1% vs Spooner 43.6% (+7.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nielsen 66.0%
Defensive zone
Nielsen 91.1%
Neutral zone
Nielsen 77.1%
Result
Frans Nielsen favored at 85.5%
85.5%
14.5%
Nielsen
Spooner
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Nielsen
Spooner
Last 5: Nielsen 4-1 Spooner
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nielsen
3
0
Nielsen
Spooner
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Nielsen
Spooner
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nielsen
Spooner
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (899)
42.9% (683)
+7.8%
Power Play
54.8% (73)
44.4% (18)
+10.4%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (197)
30.0% (10)
+15.7%
On penalty kill, Nielsen has a +15.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spooner shoots left. Nielsen is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (742).
Nielsen shoots left. Spooner is 43.6% vs left-shot opponents (420).
Home / Away
Nielsen
Spooner
Home
51.1% (595)
42.4% (349)
Away
49.1% (574)
43.1% (362)
By Period
Nielsen
Spooner
P1
53.2%
44.7%
P2
48.1%
45.8%
P3
49.3%
37.4%
OT
42.9%
33.3%
Final 5 min
49.2%
41.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
50.1%
Spooner
50.0%▲
44.0%
42.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2016 | 2 | 10:48 | Neutral | Ryan Spooner |
| Mar 12, 2016 | 2 | 08:10 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 12, 2016 | 2 | 08:03 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 23, 2015 | 1 | 09:51 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 23, 2015 | 1 | 05:30 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |