Scouting Report
Ryan Strome holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Nielsen on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nielsen 46.8% vs Strome 47.7% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 68.6%
Defensive zone
Nielsen 54.2%
Neutral zone
Nielsen 53.6%
Result
Frans Nielsen favored at 50.7%
50.7%
49.3%
Nielsen
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Nielsen
Strome
Last 7: Nielsen 5-2 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
0
1
Nielsen
Strome
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nielsen
3
0
Nielsen
Strome
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nielsen
2
1
Nielsen
Strome
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nielsen
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (409)
47.8% (813)
-1.3%
Power Play
43.5% (23)
56.4% (133)
-12.9%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (24)
32.7% (98)
+9.0%
On power play, Strome has a +12.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Nielsen is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (192).
Nielsen shoots left. Strome is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (753).
Home / Away
Nielsen
Strome
Home
44.7% (264)
47.5% (535)
Away
47.9% (192)
47.5% (509)
By Period
Nielsen
Strome
P1
48.4%
46.4%
P2
49.7%
48.3%
P3
38.0%
47.9%
OT
100.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
44.5%
47.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
46.1%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2020 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Jan 31, 2020 | 2 | 04:03 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Jan 31, 2020 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Jan 31, 2020 | 1 | 05:58 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Jan 31, 2020 | 1 | 05:54 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Jan 31, 2020 | 1 | 02:48 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Jan 31, 2020 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |