Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Nielsen on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Nielsen wins 45.6% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nielsen 45.6% vs Couturier 47.3% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Couturier 59.2%
Defensive zone
Couturier 57.9%
Neutral zone
Couturier 53.5%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 55.6%
44.4%
55.6%
Nielsen
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Nielsen
Couturier
Last 9: Nielsen 6-3 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nielsen
1
0
Nielsen
Couturier
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
1
2
Nielsen
Couturier
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nielsen
4
1
Nielsen
Couturier
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nielsen
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (906)
47.4% (639)
-1.8%
Power Play
62.2% (45)
54.2% (24)
+8.0%
Penalty Kill
39.6% (192)
44.0% (134)
-4.4%
On power play, Nielsen has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Nielsen is 45.6% vs left-shot opponents (783).
Nielsen shoots left. Couturier is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (523).
Home / Away
Nielsen
Couturier
Home
45.6% (581)
46.9% (446)
Away
44.9% (575)
47.2% (358)
By Period
Nielsen
Couturier
P1
47.0%
42.5%
P2
44.0%
47.1%
P3
44.9%
51.6%
OT
42.9%
25.0%
Final 5 min
48.6%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
45.2%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2012 | 3 | 15:04 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 15, 2012 | 2 | 07:02 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 15, 2012 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 15, 2012 | 1 | 06:50 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 1, 2012 | 3 | 09:11 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 1, 2012 | 1 | 00:53 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 7, 2012 | 2 | 18:04 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Jan 19, 2012 | 2 | 15:05 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 23, 2011 | 2 | 16:48 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |