Scouting Report
Shawn Horcoff holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Nielsen on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nielsen 48.5% vs Horcoff 49.6% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Nielsen leads 10-7 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Horcoff 64.0%
Defensive zone
Horcoff 53.5%
Neutral zone
Horcoff 59.5%
Result
Shawn Horcoff favored at 58.5%
41.5%
58.5%
Nielsen
Horcoff
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
7
(17 meetings)
10
7
Nielsen
Horcoff
Last 10: Nielsen 5-5 Horcoff
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Nielsen
Horcoff
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nielsen
4
2
Nielsen
Horcoff
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nielsen
4
3
Nielsen
Horcoff
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nielsen
Horcoff
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (7,608)
50.6% (3,133)
-1.3%
Power Play
54.7% (594)
51.4% (555)
+3.3%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (1,420)
43.0% (567)
-1.3%
On power play, Nielsen has a +3.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horcoff shoots left. Nielsen is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,996).
Nielsen shoots left. Horcoff is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,000).
Home / Away
Nielsen
Horcoff
Home
49.9% (4,766)
51.1% (2,199)
Away
47.1% (4,890)
48.0% (2,104)
By Period
Nielsen
Horcoff
P1
49.7%
48.2%
P2
47.6%
49.5%
P3
48.2%
50.9%
OT
46.6%
51.9%
Final 5 min
48.7%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.5%
Horcoff
62.0%▲
55.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2015 | 3 | 18:34 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Nov 13, 2015 | 3 | 18:27 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Nov 13, 2015 | 3 | 12:52 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Nov 13, 2015 | 3 | 02:23 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Mar 3, 2015 | OT | 00:37 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 3, 2015 | 3 | 13:42 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Oct 25, 2014 | 2 | 16:44 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 25, 2014 | 1 | 18:42 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Jan 6, 2014 | 3 | 15:29 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Dec 31, 2011 | 3 | 10:58 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Dec 31, 2011 | 3 | 05:10 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Dec 31, 2011 | 3 | 03:11 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Dec 31, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Dec 31, 2011 | 1 | 18:05 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Dec 31, 2011 | 1 | 17:55 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Dec 31, 2011 | 1 | 07:26 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Dec 31, 2011 | 1 | 04:07 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |