Scouting Report
Shawn Horcoff holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Nielsen on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Nielsen wins 45.6% vs left-shot opponents — Horcoff shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nielsen 45.6% vs Horcoff 49.4% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horcoff 85.1%
Defensive zone
Horcoff 66.6%
Neutral zone
Horcoff 73.7%
Result
Shawn Horcoff favored at 72.5%
27.5%
72.5%
Nielsen
Horcoff
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Nielsen
Horcoff
Last 8: Nielsen 6-2 Horcoff
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horcoff
0
1
Nielsen
Horcoff
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nielsen
3
0
Nielsen
Horcoff
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nielsen
3
1
Nielsen
Horcoff
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nielsen
Horcoff
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (906)
49.9% (976)
-4.3%
Power Play
62.2% (45)
49.4% (241)
+12.8%
Penalty Kill
39.6% (192)
46.8% (233)
-7.2%
On power play, Nielsen has a +12.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horcoff shoots left. Nielsen is 45.6% vs left-shot opponents (783).
Nielsen shoots left. Horcoff is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,057).
Home / Away
Nielsen
Horcoff
Home
45.6% (581)
52.1% (755)
Away
44.9% (575)
46.5% (720)
By Period
Nielsen
Horcoff
P1
47.0%
49.3%
P2
44.0%
47.9%
P3
44.9%
50.7%
OT
42.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.6%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
45.2%
Horcoff
62.0%▲
55.5%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2011 | 3 | 10:58 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Dec 31, 2011 | 3 | 05:10 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Dec 31, 2011 | 3 | 03:11 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Dec 31, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Dec 31, 2011 | 1 | 18:05 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Dec 31, 2011 | 1 | 17:55 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Dec 31, 2011 | 1 | 07:26 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Dec 31, 2011 | 1 | 04:07 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |