Scouting Report
Shawn Matthias holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Nielsen on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Nielsen wins 45.6% vs left-shot opponents — Matthias shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nielsen 45.6% vs Matthias 49.5% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthias 56.0%
Defensive zone
Nielsen 62.5%
Neutral zone
Nielsen 50.8%
Result
Frans Nielsen favored at 56.4%
56.4%
43.6%
Nielsen
Matthias
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Nielsen
Matthias
Last 5: Nielsen 2-3 Matthias
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthias
0
1
Nielsen
Matthias
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nielsen
2
1
Nielsen
Matthias
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthias
0
1
Nielsen
Matthias
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nielsen
Matthias
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (906)
49.4% (510)
-3.8%
Power Play
62.2% (45)
55.3% (38)
+6.9%
Penalty Kill
39.6% (192)
46.5% (43)
-6.9%
On power play, Nielsen has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Matthias shoots left. Nielsen is 45.6% vs left-shot opponents (783).
Nielsen shoots left. Matthias is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (390).
Home / Away
Nielsen
Matthias
Home
45.6% (581)
47.6% (315)
Away
44.9% (575)
51.4% (282)
By Period
Nielsen
Matthias
P1
47.0%
50.0%
P2
44.0%
51.9%
P3
44.9%
45.8%
OT
42.9%
75.0%
Final 5 min
48.6%
39.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
45.2%
Matthias
40.0%▼
41.5%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2012 | 2 | 19:41 | Neutral | Shawn Matthias |
| Feb 12, 2012 | 2 | 18:30 | Offensive | Shawn Matthias |
| Feb 12, 2012 | 1 | 09:16 | Defensive | Shawn Matthias |
| Feb 12, 2012 | 1 | 05:47 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 8, 2011 | 2 | 06:47 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |