Scouting Report
Frans Nielsen holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Gionta on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Nielsen wins 42.8% vs right-shot opponents — Gionta shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nielsen 48.3% vs Gionta 42.3% (+7.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nielsen 55.2%
Defensive zone
Gionta 50.8%
Neutral zone
Gionta 54.0%
Result
Frans Nielsen favored at 50.7%
50.7%
49.3%
Nielsen
Gionta
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Nielsen
Gionta
Last 6: Nielsen 3-3 Gionta
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nielsen
2
0
Nielsen
Gionta
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gionta
1
2
Nielsen
Gionta
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gionta
0
1
Nielsen
Gionta
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nielsen
Gionta
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (841)
40.3% (303)
+9.2%
Power Play
54.1% (37)
66.7% (6)
-12.6%
Penalty Kill
40.7% (172)
38.8% (85)
+1.9%
On power play, Gionta has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gionta shoots right. Nielsen is 42.8% vs right-shot opponents (388).
Nielsen shoots left. Gionta is 41.4% vs left-shot opponents (285).
Home / Away
Nielsen
Gionta
Home
51.2% (510)
42.8% (166)
Away
45.4% (540)
38.6% (228)
By Period
Nielsen
Gionta
P1
48.6%
41.7%
P2
47.4%
42.3%
P3
48.9%
37.8%
OT
40.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
51.5%
38.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.2%
Gionta
50.0%▲
48.0%
40.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 15, 2014 | 2 | 16:35 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Dec 15, 2014 | 2 | 13:29 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Dec 15, 2014 | 2 | 03:07 | Neutral | Stephen Gionta |
| Nov 29, 2014 | 2 | 05:59 | Defensive | Stephen Gionta |
| Nov 29, 2014 | 1 | 15:32 | Defensive | Stephen Gionta |
| Nov 29, 2014 | 1 | 05:45 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |