Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.2% vs 46.5%). Look for Nielsen on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 9 meetings). Nielsen wins 46.9% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nielsen 46.6% vs Stamkos 46.8% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Nielsen leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Stamkos 64.0%
Defensive zone
Nielsen 59.4%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 59.0%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 56.9%
43.1%
56.9%
Nielsen
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
4
(13 meetings)
9
4
Nielsen
Stamkos
Last 10: Nielsen 7-3 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Nielsen
Stamkos
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nielsen
2
0
Nielsen
Stamkos
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nielsen
6
3
Nielsen
Stamkos
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nielsen
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (766)
46.0% (767)
+0.2%
Power Play
43.4% (53)
50.0% (126)
-6.6%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (125)
46.2% (26)
+1.8%
On power play, Stamkos has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Nielsen is 46.9% vs right-shot opponents (369).
Nielsen shoots left. Stamkos is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (594).
Home / Away
Nielsen
Stamkos
Home
46.8% (489)
49.7% (441)
Away
45.6% (476)
43.6% (486)
By Period
Nielsen
Stamkos
P1
45.5%
43.7%
P2
47.5%
50.2%
P3
46.5%
45.1%
OT
37.5%
46.4%
Final 5 min
49.8%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
46.2%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
46.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2011 | 3 | 17:59 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 22, 2011 | 3 | 12:06 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 22, 2011 | 1 | 08:32 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Dec 22, 2010 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 22, 2010 | 1 | 13:38 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Dec 22, 2010 | 1 | 10:57 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 17, 2010 | 2 | 06:13 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 17, 2010 | 2 | 03:15 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 17, 2010 | 2 | 00:34 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 17, 2010 | 1 | 09:33 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 17, 2010 | 1 | 04:52 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 21, 2010 | 3 | 19:06 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 21, 2010 | 1 | 11:13 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |