Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.8% vs 53.5%). Look for Stamkos on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nielsen 53.5% vs Stamkos 52.3% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 52.8%
Defensive zone
Stamkos 53.6%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 54.1%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 53.6%
46.4%
53.6%
Nielsen
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Nielsen
Stamkos
Last 7: Nielsen 2-5 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Nielsen
Stamkos
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
2
Nielsen
Stamkos
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
1
2
Nielsen
Stamkos
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nielsen
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
54.2% (906)
54.7% (179)
-0.5%
Power Play
63.2% (152)
50.0% (4)
+13.2%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (156)
40.0% (15)
+2.3%
On power play, Nielsen has a +13.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Nielsen is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (472).
Nielsen shoots left. Stamkos is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (128).
Home / Away
Nielsen
Stamkos
Home
55.3% (608)
57.4% (108)
Away
52.3% (606)
48.9% (90)
By Period
Nielsen
Stamkos
P1
54.1%
53.4%
P2
52.6%
51.7%
P3
54.0%
55.6%
OT
65.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.6%
41.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
53.8%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2016 | 3 | 08:34 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 13, 2016 | 2 | 15:38 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 13, 2016 | 2 | 08:18 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 13, 2016 | 2 | 04:10 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 13, 2016 | 2 | 03:58 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 13, 2016 | 1 | 15:27 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 13, 2016 | 1 | 00:36 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |