Scouting Report
T.J. Oshie holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Oshie on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Nielsen wins 45.2% vs right-shot opponents — Oshie shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nielsen 50.1% vs Oshie 51.9% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Oshie 73.7%
Defensive zone
Nielsen 79.1%
Neutral zone
Oshie 50.3%
Result
Frans Nielsen favored at 57.9%
57.9%
42.1%
Nielsen
Oshie
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Nielsen
Oshie
Last 5: Nielsen 2-3 Oshie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Nielsen
Oshie
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Oshie
1
2
Nielsen
Oshie
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nielsen
Oshie
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (899)
51.4% (35)
-0.7%
Power Play
54.8% (73)
53.5% (170)
+1.3%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (197)
50.9% (57)
-5.2%
On penalty kill, Oshie has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Oshie shoots right. Nielsen is 45.2% vs right-shot opponents (427).
Nielsen shoots left. Oshie is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (206).
Home / Away
Nielsen
Oshie
Home
51.1% (595)
59.4% (138)
Away
49.1% (574)
45.2% (124)
By Period
Nielsen
Oshie
P1
53.2%
53.4%
P2
48.1%
48.9%
P3
49.3%
55.1%
OT
42.9%
66.7%
Final 5 min
49.2%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
50.1%
Oshie
32.0%▼
43.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2016 | 3 | 11:01 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 18, 2016 | 2 | 09:51 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Feb 4, 2016 | 2 | 19:43 | Defensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Feb 4, 2016 | 2 | 19:17 | Defensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Jan 7, 2016 | 1 | 08:42 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |