Scouting Report
Frans Nielsen holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Nielsen wins 45.6% vs left-shot opponents — Sestito shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nielsen 45.6% vs Sestito 46.3% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sestito 61.2%
Defensive zone
Nielsen 66.3%
Neutral zone
Nielsen 55.7%
Result
Frans Nielsen favored at 51.1%
51.1%
48.9%
Nielsen
Sestito
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Nielsen
Sestito
Last 5: Nielsen 3-2 Sestito
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Nielsen
Sestito
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sestito
0
1
Nielsen
Sestito
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nielsen
2
0
Nielsen
Sestito
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nielsen
Sestito
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (906)
40.5% (74)
+5.1%
Penalty Kill
39.6% (192)
100.0% (1)
-60.4%
On penalty kill, Sestito has a +60.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sestito shoots left. Nielsen is 45.6% vs left-shot opponents (783).
Nielsen shoots left. Sestito is 38.3% vs left-shot opponents (60).
Home / Away
Nielsen
Sestito
Home
45.6% (581)
32.3% (31)
Away
44.9% (575)
47.7% (44)
By Period
Nielsen
Sestito
P1
47.0%
38.7%
P2
44.0%
14.3%
P3
44.9%
69.6%
Final 5 min
48.6%
43.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
45.2%
Sestito
36.0%▼
44.0%
41.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2011 | 2 | 04:20 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 26, 2011 | 1 | 19:30 | Defensive | Tim Sestito |
| Nov 26, 2011 | 1 | 11:28 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 25, 2011 | 3 | 03:02 | Offensive | Tim Sestito |
| Nov 25, 2011 | 1 | 12:22 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |