Scouting Report
Tomas Plekanec holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Nielsen on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nielsen 48.9% vs Plekanec 50.0% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Plekanec 52.8%
Defensive zone
Plekanec 60.9%
Neutral zone
Plekanec 53.5%
Result
Tomas Plekanec favored at 54.1%
45.9%
54.1%
Nielsen
Plekanec
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Nielsen
Plekanec
Last 8: Nielsen 6-2 Plekanec
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nielsen
3
1
Nielsen
Plekanec
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nielsen
1
0
Nielsen
Plekanec
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nielsen
2
1
Nielsen
Plekanec
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nielsen
Plekanec
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (759)
51.6% (31)
-1.9%
Power Play
48.1% (106)
100.0% (1)
-51.9%
Penalty Kill
37.9% (58)
33.3% (6)
+4.6%
On power play, Plekanec has a +51.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Plekanec shoots left. Nielsen is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (627).
Nielsen shoots left. Plekanec is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (35).
Home / Away
Nielsen
Plekanec
Home
49.8% (422)
50.0% (38)
Away
47.9% (501)
0.0% (0)
By Period
Nielsen
Plekanec
P1
48.8%
71.4%
P2
48.7%
58.3%
P3
49.0%
36.8%
Final 5 min
47.1%
42.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.8%
Plekanec
56.0%▬
56.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2018 | 3 | 18:50 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 15, 2018 | 3 | 16:05 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 15, 2018 | 3 | 09:35 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 15, 2018 | 3 | 09:19 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 15, 2018 | 2 | 18:00 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 15, 2018 | 2 | 17:09 | Offensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Oct 15, 2018 | 2 | 17:01 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 15, 2018 | 1 | 16:56 | Neutral | Tomas Plekanec |