Scouting Report
Tyler Johnson holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Nielsen on neutral-zone draws (58% H2H, 26 meetings). Nielsen wins 47.0% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nielsen 48.5% vs Johnson 49.7% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Nielsen leads 33-31 in 64 meetings
Offensive zone
Johnson 63.1%
Defensive zone
Nielsen 61.7%
Neutral zone
Johnson 50.9%
Result
Frans Nielsen favored at 50.0%
50.0%
50.0%
Nielsen
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
33
-
31
(64 meetings)
33
31
Nielsen
Johnson
Last 10: Nielsen 4-6 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nielsen
9
8
Nielsen
Johnson
17 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
9
12
Nielsen
Johnson
21 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nielsen
15
11
Nielsen
Johnson
26 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nielsen
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (7,608)
49.8% (5,396)
-0.5%
Power Play
54.7% (594)
54.6% (885)
+0.1%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (1,420)
42.3% (707)
-0.6%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Nielsen is 47.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,660).
Nielsen shoots left. Johnson is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (4,785).
Home / Away
Nielsen
Johnson
Home
49.9% (4,766)
52.5% (3,460)
Away
47.1% (4,890)
46.8% (3,528)
By Period
Nielsen
Johnson
P1
49.7%
50.1%
P2
47.6%
50.6%
P3
48.2%
48.4%
OT
46.6%
42.5%
Final 5 min
48.7%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.5%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2020 | 1 | 18:08 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 8, 2020 | 1 | 15:00 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 8, 2020 | 1 | 03:06 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 14, 2019 | 3 | 15:01 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 14, 2019 | 3 | 14:56 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 14, 2019 | 3 | 08:24 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 14, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 14, 2019 | 1 | 10:53 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 9, 2019 | 3 | 13:49 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 9, 2019 | 3 | 10:15 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 9, 2019 | 3 | 01:40 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Dec 4, 2018 | 3 | 02:11 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 18, 2018 | 3 | 10:51 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 18, 2018 | 1 | 13:21 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 18, 2018 | 1 | 00:37 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Jan 7, 2018 | 1 | 07:38 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 26, 2017 | 1 | 15:01 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Dec 20, 2016 | 2 | 16:14 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Dec 20, 2016 | 2 | 07:41 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Dec 20, 2016 | 2 | 07:34 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |