Scouting Report
Frans Nielsen holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Nielsen on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nielsen 53.5% vs Johnson 51.8% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Nielsen leads 11-3 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Nielsen 66.6%
Defensive zone
Nielsen 58.5%
Neutral zone
Nielsen 68.3%
Result
Frans Nielsen favored at 65.0%
65.0%
35.0%
Nielsen
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
3
(14 meetings)
11
3
Nielsen
Johnson
Last 10: Nielsen 7-3 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nielsen
3
1
Nielsen
Johnson
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Nielsen
Johnson
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nielsen
6
0
Nielsen
Johnson
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nielsen
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
54.2% (906)
51.2% (825)
+3.0%
Power Play
63.2% (152)
56.9% (160)
+6.3%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (156)
51.1% (137)
-8.8%
On penalty kill, Johnson has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Nielsen is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (472).
Nielsen shoots left. Johnson is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (785).
Home / Away
Nielsen
Johnson
Home
55.3% (608)
56.9% (583)
Away
52.3% (606)
46.6% (539)
By Period
Nielsen
Johnson
P1
54.1%
55.1%
P2
52.6%
53.0%
P3
54.0%
48.8%
OT
65.4%
28.6%
Final 5 min
50.6%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
53.8%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2016 | 2 | 16:14 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Dec 20, 2016 | 2 | 07:41 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Dec 20, 2016 | 2 | 07:34 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Dec 20, 2016 | 1 | 17:08 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Dec 20, 2016 | 1 | 14:43 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Dec 20, 2016 | 1 | 12:14 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 15, 2016 | 3 | 11:06 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 15, 2016 | 3 | 08:01 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 15, 2016 | 3 | 05:53 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 15, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 15, 2016 | 2 | 16:21 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 15, 2016 | 1 | 01:17 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 13, 2016 | 3 | 17:31 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 13, 2016 | 3 | 17:15 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |