Scouting Report
Vernon Fiddler holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Fiddler on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nielsen 49.3% vs Fiddler 52.0% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nielsen 69.4%
Defensive zone
Nielsen 62.3%
Neutral zone
Nielsen 63.4%
Result
Frans Nielsen favored at 64.5%
64.5%
35.5%
Nielsen
Fiddler
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Nielsen
Fiddler
Last 7: Nielsen 1-6 Fiddler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Nielsen
Fiddler
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Fiddler
0
4
Nielsen
Fiddler
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fiddler
0
1
Nielsen
Fiddler
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nielsen
Fiddler
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (856)
55.4% (737)
-4.3%
Power Play
50.0% (38)
56.7% (30)
-6.7%
Penalty Kill
41.1% (190)
40.9% (215)
+0.2%
On power play, Fiddler has a +6.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Fiddler shoots left. Nielsen is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (658).
Nielsen shoots left. Fiddler is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (633).
Home / Away
Nielsen
Fiddler
Home
51.0% (510)
54.0% (489)
Away
47.7% (574)
50.5% (493)
By Period
Nielsen
Fiddler
P1
53.0%
52.9%
P2
45.4%
51.6%
P3
49.5%
52.6%
OT
50.0%
41.7%
Final 5 min
46.7%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.3%
Fiddler
54.0%▼
58.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2014 | 3 | 18:36 | Neutral | Vernon Fiddler |
| Jan 12, 2014 | 3 | 11:13 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Jan 12, 2014 | 3 | 03:54 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Jan 12, 2014 | 1 | 09:07 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Jan 12, 2014 | 1 | 09:03 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Jan 12, 2014 | 1 | 06:54 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Jan 6, 2014 | 2 | 12:28 | Offensive | Vernon Fiddler |