Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.5% vs 48.2%). Look for Nielsen on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nielsen 48.5% vs Gourde 48.2% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Gourde leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Nielsen 51.3%
Defensive zone
Nielsen 55.1%
Neutral zone
Nielsen 51.6%
Result
Frans Nielsen favored at 52.4%
52.4%
47.6%
Nielsen
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
6
(11 meetings)
5
6
Nielsen
Gourde
Last 10: Nielsen 4-6 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nielsen
3
2
Nielsen
Gourde
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
1
2
Nielsen
Gourde
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gourde
1
2
Nielsen
Gourde
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nielsen
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (7,608)
48.4% (4,954)
+0.9%
Power Play
54.7% (594)
57.4% (376)
-2.7%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (1,420)
39.9% (554)
+1.8%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Nielsen is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,996).
Nielsen shoots left. Gourde is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,946).
Home / Away
Nielsen
Gourde
Home
49.9% (4,766)
49.3% (2,915)
Away
47.1% (4,890)
47.2% (2,969)
By Period
Nielsen
Gourde
P1
49.7%
49.9%
P2
47.6%
47.4%
P3
48.2%
47.5%
OT
46.6%
37.0%
Final 5 min
48.7%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.5%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2021 | 2 | 17:12 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 29, 2019 | 2 | 03:14 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 4, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 4, 2018 | 1 | 03:54 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 16, 2017 | 3 | 17:26 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 16, 2017 | 3 | 03:40 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 16, 2017 | 3 | 03:27 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 30, 2017 | 3 | 07:11 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 30, 2017 | 1 | 14:35 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 30, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 24, 2017 | 1 | 04:23 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |