Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.5% vs 48.3%). Look for Nielsen on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nielsen 48.5% vs Gourde 48.3% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Gourde leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Gourde 52.4%
Defensive zone
Nielsen 52.2%
Neutral zone
Gourde 52.2%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 51.1%
48.9%
51.1%
Nielsen
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
6
(11 meetings)
5
6
Nielsen
Gourde
Last 10: Nielsen 4-6 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nielsen
3
2
Nielsen
Gourde
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
1
2
Nielsen
Gourde
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gourde
1
2
Nielsen
Gourde
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nielsen
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (7,608)
48.5% (4,763)
+0.8%
Power Play
54.7% (594)
57.5% (367)
-2.8%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (1,420)
39.9% (534)
+1.8%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Nielsen is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,996).
Nielsen shoots left. Gourde is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (3,791).
Home / Away
Nielsen
Gourde
Home
49.9% (4,766)
49.4% (2,808)
Away
47.1% (4,890)
47.2% (2,856)
By Period
Nielsen
Gourde
P1
49.7%
50.4%
P2
47.6%
47.2%
P3
48.2%
47.2%
OT
46.6%
38.5%
Final 5 min
48.7%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.5%
Gourde
50.0%▲
43.5%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2021 | 2 | 17:12 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 29, 2019 | 2 | 03:14 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 4, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 4, 2018 | 1 | 03:54 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 16, 2017 | 3 | 17:26 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 16, 2017 | 3 | 03:40 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 16, 2017 | 3 | 03:27 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 30, 2017 | 3 | 07:11 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 30, 2017 | 1 | 14:35 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 30, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 24, 2017 | 1 | 04:23 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |