Scouting Report
Zack Smith holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Smith on offensive-zone draws (79% H2H, 14 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nielsen 48.5% vs Smith 50.6% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Smith leads 29-25 in 54 meetings
Offensive zone
Nielsen 51.1%
Defensive zone
Smith 51.3%
Neutral zone
Nielsen 50.0%
Result
Zack Smith favored at 50.2%
49.8%
50.2%
Nielsen
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
25
-
29
(54 meetings)
25
29
Nielsen
Smith
Last 10: Nielsen 5-5 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Smith
3
11
Nielsen
Smith
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nielsen
12
7
Nielsen
Smith
19 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smith
10
11
Nielsen
Smith
21 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nielsen
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (7,608)
51.6% (5,265)
-2.3%
Power Play
54.7% (594)
51.2% (342)
+3.5%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (1,420)
45.3% (985)
-3.6%
On penalty kill, Smith has a +3.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Nielsen is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,996).
Nielsen shoots left. Smith is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (4,205).
Home / Away
Nielsen
Smith
Home
49.9% (4,766)
52.5% (3,289)
Away
47.1% (4,890)
48.7% (3,310)
By Period
Nielsen
Smith
P1
49.7%
49.9%
P2
47.6%
50.0%
P3
48.2%
51.9%
OT
46.6%
51.6%
Final 5 min
48.7%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.5%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2019 | 3 | 16:45 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Feb 14, 2019 | 1 | 15:25 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Feb 14, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Dec 14, 2018 | 3 | 07:31 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Dec 14, 2018 | 1 | 15:40 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 15, 2018 | 3 | 15:20 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 15, 2018 | 3 | 08:49 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Nov 15, 2018 | 3 | 08:41 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 15, 2018 | 3 | 08:32 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Nov 15, 2018 | 3 | 04:54 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Nov 15, 2018 | 3 | 00:33 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Nov 15, 2018 | 2 | 04:36 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Nov 15, 2018 | 1 | 15:00 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 15, 2018 | 1 | 03:53 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 15, 2018 | 1 | 01:01 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Mar 31, 2018 | 1 | 07:26 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Mar 31, 2018 | 1 | 02:36 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 2, 2017 | 2 | 10:03 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 7, 2017 | 3 | 15:20 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Oct 7, 2017 | 3 | 00:07 | Offensive | Zack Smith |