Scouting Report
Zack Smith holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Smith on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Nielsen wins 45.6% vs left-shot opponents — Smith shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nielsen 45.6% vs Smith 49.0% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Smith leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Nielsen 52.1%
Defensive zone
Nielsen 51.8%
Neutral zone
Nielsen 54.8%
Result
Frans Nielsen favored at 53.4%
53.4%
46.6%
Nielsen
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Nielsen
Smith
Last 10: Nielsen 4-6 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Nielsen
Smith
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nielsen
2
1
Nielsen
Smith
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smith
1
4
Nielsen
Smith
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nielsen
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (906)
48.0% (761)
-2.4%
Power Play
62.2% (45)
70.4% (27)
-8.2%
Penalty Kill
39.6% (192)
49.5% (196)
-9.9%
On penalty kill, Smith has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Nielsen is 45.6% vs left-shot opponents (783).
Nielsen shoots left. Smith is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (690).
Home / Away
Nielsen
Smith
Home
45.6% (581)
49.9% (523)
Away
44.9% (575)
47.8% (467)
By Period
Nielsen
Smith
P1
47.0%
47.5%
P2
44.0%
50.4%
P3
44.9%
48.4%
OT
42.9%
53.8%
Final 5 min
48.6%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
45.2%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2012 | 3 | 05:20 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Apr 1, 2012 | 3 | 05:13 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Apr 1, 2012 | 2 | 18:20 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Feb 26, 2012 | 3 | 09:04 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Feb 26, 2012 | 2 | 17:17 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Feb 20, 2012 | 3 | 05:35 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Feb 20, 2012 | 1 | 04:07 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Feb 3, 2012 | 1 | 19:12 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Feb 3, 2012 | 1 | 04:38 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 3, 2012 | 1 | 00:27 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |