Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Cizikas wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Minten shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 53.0% vs Minten 48.5% (+5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cizikas 61.9%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 86.2%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 78.3%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 78.2%
78.2%
21.8%
Cizikas
Minten
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Cizikas
Minten
Last 5: Cizikas 4-1 Minten
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
1
0
Cizikas
Minten
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
2
0
Cizikas
Minten
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Cizikas
Minten
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Minten
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (512)
49.6% (603)
+4.1%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
45.8% (48)
+54.2%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (42)
32.6% (43)
+15.0%
On power play, Cizikas has a +54.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Minten shoots left. Cizikas is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (379).
Cizikas shoots left. Minten is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (446).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Minten
Home
51.9% (258)
51.6% (322)
Away
54.8% (299)
45.4% (372)
By Period
Cizikas
Minten
P1
56.0%
44.9%
P2
55.1%
46.6%
P3
50.0%
52.1%
OT
33.3%
83.3%
Final 5 min
48.3%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
52.0%▼
60.5%
53.5%
Minten
46.0%▼
49.5%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 14:28 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 16:18 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 2 | 05:11 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 1 | 05:44 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 07:48 | Neutral | Fraser Minten |