Fraser Minten vs Mark Jankowski
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mark Jankowski holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Jankowski on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Minten 48.0% vs Jankowski 50.4% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Minten 68.0%
Defensive zone
Minten 59.4%
Neutral zone
Minten 65.1%
Result
Fraser Minten favored at 64.2%
64.2%
35.8%
Minten
Jankowski
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Minten
Jankowski
Last 9: Minten 3-6 Jankowski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
1
2
Minten
Jankowski
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
1
2
Minten
Jankowski
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jankowski
1
2
Minten
Jankowski
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Minten
Jankowski
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (793)
51.5% (3,462)
-2.7%
Power Play
45.8% (59)
53.7% (95)
-7.9%
Penalty Kill
34.0% (47)
42.8% (528)
-8.8%
On penalty kill, Jankowski has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jankowski shoots left. Minten is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (594).
Minten shoots left. Jankowski is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,535).
Home / Away
Minten
Jankowski
Home
51.2% (449)
51.9% (1,940)
Away
44.4% (450)
49.1% (2,145)
By Period
Minten
Jankowski
P1
44.0%
50.0%
P2
46.4%
51.2%
P3
52.1%
50.2%
OT
83.3%
20.0%
Final 5 min
44.7%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Minten
46.0%▼
49.5%
47.8%
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2025 | 3 | 14:16 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 3 | 07:10 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 1 | 16:33 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 1 | 13:10 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Fraser Minten |
| Dec 4, 2024 | 3 | 06:12 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 4, 2024 | 3 | 06:03 | Defensive | Fraser Minten |
| Dec 4, 2024 | 1 | 10:37 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 4, 2024 | 1 | 10:33 | Offensive | Fraser Minten |