Scouting Report
Rod Pelley holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Minten 48.0% vs Pelley 51.0% (-3.4%)
Offensive zone
Minten 63.6%
Defensive zone
Pelley 55.7%
Neutral zone
Pelley 52.4%
Result
Fraser Minten favored at 51.8%
51.8%
48.2%
Minten
Pelley
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Minten
Pelley
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (793)
51.4% (440)
-2.6%
Power Play
45.8% (59)
25.0% (8)
+20.8%
Penalty Kill
34.0% (47)
50.8% (118)
-16.8%
On power play, Minten has a +20.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pelley shoots left. Minten is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (594).
Minten shoots left. Pelley is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (369).
Home / Away
Minten
Pelley
Home
51.2% (449)
52.9% (221)
Away
44.4% (450)
50.1% (353)
By Period
Minten
Pelley
P1
44.0%
50.8%
P2
46.4%
49.3%
P3
52.1%
53.8%
OT
83.3%
100.0%
Final 5 min
44.7%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Minten
46.0%▼
49.5%
47.8%
Pelley
50.0%▬
49.0%
51.2%