Scouting Report
Freddie Hamilton holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Hamilton on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Grant wins 54.1% vs right-shot opponents — Hamilton shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 51.9% vs Hamilton 55.3% (-7.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Grant 69.4%
Defensive zone
Grant 67.8%
Neutral zone
Grant 63.2%
Result
Derek Grant favored at 65.7%
65.7%
34.3%
Grant
Hamilton
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Grant
Hamilton
Last 5: Grant 1-4 Hamilton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Grant
Hamilton
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hamilton
0
3
Grant
Hamilton
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Hamilton
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (308)
59.3% (118)
-6.1%
Penalty Kill
46.0% (63)
62.5% (8)
-16.5%
On penalty kill, Hamilton has a +16.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hamilton shoots right. Grant is 54.1% vs right-shot opponents (133).
Grant shoots left. Hamilton is 60.8% vs left-shot opponents (97).
Home / Away
Grant
Hamilton
Home
50.9% (161)
52.6% (38)
Away
53.4% (223)
62.5% (88)
By Period
Grant
Hamilton
P1
53.4%
52.5%
P2
47.9%
64.4%
P3
56.0%
61.0%
Final 5 min
54.7%
60.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
52.3%
Hamilton
48.0%▼
52.0%
59.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 21, 2016 | 2 | 13:08 | Neutral | Freddie Hamilton |
| Nov 21, 2016 | 2 | 04:36 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Nov 21, 2016 | 1 | 16:08 | Neutral | Freddie Hamilton |
| Nov 21, 2016 | 1 | 09:14 | Neutral | Freddie Hamilton |
| Nov 21, 2016 | 1 | 06:03 | Offensive | Freddie Hamilton |