Scouting Report
Mark Letestu holds a +13.6% FO% edge overall. Hamilton wins 42.5% vs right-shot opponents — Letestu shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hamilton 46.0% vs Letestu 52.5% (-13.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Letestu 57.8%
Defensive zone
Letestu 83.2%
Neutral zone
Letestu 64.9%
Result
Mark Letestu favored at 79.5%
20.5%
79.5%
Hamilton
Letestu
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Hamilton
Letestu
Last 5: Hamilton 3-2 Letestu
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Hamilton
Letestu
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hamilton
1
0
Hamilton
Letestu
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hamilton
Letestu
Edge
Even Strength
40.4% (57)
55.5% (488)
-15.1%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
46.7% (15)
-13.4%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
41.0% (100)
-41.0%
On penalty kill, Letestu has a +41.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Letestu shoots right. Hamilton is 42.5% vs right-shot opponents (40).
Hamilton shoots right. Letestu is 46.9% vs right-shot opponents (175).
Home / Away
Hamilton
Letestu
Home
37.5% (16)
55.9% (297)
Away
40.0% (45)
50.0% (306)
By Period
Hamilton
Letestu
P1
36.8%
49.2%
P2
38.1%
55.4%
P3
42.9%
53.4%
Final 5 min
46.7%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hamilton
48.0%▼
52.0%
39.3%
Letestu
58.0%▲
54.5%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2015 | 3 | 10:52 | Defensive | Freddie Hamilton |
| Mar 7, 2015 | 3 | 08:29 | Defensive | Mark Letestu |
| Mar 7, 2015 | 3 | 04:37 | Defensive | Mark Letestu |
| Mar 7, 2015 | 1 | 19:00 | Defensive | Freddie Hamilton |
| Mar 7, 2015 | 1 | 09:53 | Neutral | Freddie Hamilton |