Calum Ritchie vs Frederick Gaudreau
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Frederick Gaudreau holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Ritchie on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Ritchie wins 39.3% vs right-shot opponents — Gaudreau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ritchie 39.8% vs Gaudreau 43.9% (-6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ritchie 77.5%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 88.2%
Neutral zone
Gaudreau 60.2%
Result
Calum Ritchie favored at 64.3%
64.3%
35.7%
Ritchie
Gaudreau
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Ritchie
Gaudreau
Last 5: Ritchie 3-2 Gaudreau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ritchie
3
1
Ritchie
Gaudreau
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
0
1
Ritchie
Gaudreau
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ritchie
Gaudreau
Edge
Even Strength
36.1% (296)
45.0% (389)
-8.9%
Power Play
45.5% (11)
31.8% (22)
+13.7%
On power play, Ritchie has a +13.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaudreau shoots right. Ritchie is 39.3% vs right-shot opponents (112).
Ritchie shoots right. Gaudreau is 42.2% vs right-shot opponents (109).
Home / Away
Ritchie
Gaudreau
Home
37.7% (162)
42.6% (277)
Away
35.2% (145)
42.9% (259)
By Period
Ritchie
Gaudreau
P1
33.3%
43.8%
P2
38.3%
44.8%
P3
37.6%
39.2%
Final 5 min
38.8%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ritchie
34.0%▲
32.0%
36.5%
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
42.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2025 | 3 | 16:38 | Offensive | Calum Ritchie |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 2 | 14:42 | Offensive | Calum Ritchie |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 2 | 01:25 | Offensive | Calum Ritchie |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 1 | 19:04 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 1 | 12:38 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |