Frederick Gaudreau vs Jack Hughes
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Frederick Gaudreau holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Gaudreau wins 42.9% vs left-shot opponents — Hughes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 43.9% vs Hughes 39.8% (+6.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hughes 80.3%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 85.4%
Neutral zone
Hughes 64.4%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 80.3%
19.7%
80.3%
Gaudreau
Hughes
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Gaudreau
Hughes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
0
1
Gaudreau
Hughes
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (389)
36.8% (266)
+8.2%
Power Play
31.8% (22)
14.3% (7)
+17.5%
Penalty Kill
37.6% (125)
33.3% (6)
+4.3%
On power play, Gaudreau has a +17.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Gaudreau is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (427).
Gaudreau shoots right. Hughes is 41.1% vs right-shot opponents (90).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Hughes
Home
42.6% (277)
35.1% (148)
Away
42.9% (259)
37.4% (131)
By Period
Gaudreau
Hughes
P1
43.8%
43.0%
P2
44.8%
28.7%
P3
39.2%
35.2%
Final 5 min
46.7%
28.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
42.7%
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
36.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2026 | 3 | 06:33 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |