Frederick Gaudreau vs Jason Spezza
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Spezza on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 48.6% vs Spezza 54.7% (-6.1%)
H2H factor
Spezza leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Gaudreau 50.3%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 87.4%
Neutral zone
Gaudreau 72.6%
Result
Frederick Gaudreau favored at 74.8%
74.8%
25.2%
Gaudreau
Spezza
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Gaudreau
Spezza
Last 10: Gaudreau 3-7 Spezza
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
1
0
Gaudreau
Spezza
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
1
2
Gaudreau
Spezza
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
1
5
Gaudreau
Spezza
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Spezza
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (3,745)
54.4% (7,990)
-5.7%
Power Play
53.9% (219)
56.8% (1,726)
-2.9%
Penalty Kill
46.6% (789)
52.7% (643)
-6.1%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spezza shoots right. Gaudreau is 47.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,280).
Gaudreau shoots right. Spezza is 54.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,088).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Spezza
Home
49.2% (2,437)
56.8% (5,066)
Away
47.8% (2,316)
52.7% (5,332)
By Period
Gaudreau
Spezza
P1
49.7%
55.7%
P2
47.3%
54.4%
P3
49.1%
54.1%
OT
36.7%
51.5%
Final 5 min
47.5%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
48.6%
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2022 | 3 | 13:05 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 24, 2022 | 2 | 01:59 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 2, 2019 | 1 | 14:29 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 27, 2018 | 3 | 03:11 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 27, 2018 | 1 | 16:44 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Nov 10, 2018 | 3 | 04:46 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 10, 2018 | 3 | 01:54 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 5, 2017 | 2 | 13:03 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 5, 2017 | 2 | 05:29 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 5, 2017 | 2 | 02:30 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |