Frederick Gaudreau vs John Tavares
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +15.1% FO% edge overall. Gaudreau wins 42.9% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 43.9% vs Tavares 57.2% (-15.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 97.7%
Defensive zone
Tavares 53.6%
Neutral zone
Tavares 92.3%
Result
John Tavares favored at 79.0%
21.0%
79.0%
Gaudreau
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Gaudreau
Tavares
Last 5: Gaudreau 4-1 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Gaudreau
Tavares
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
2
0
Gaudreau
Tavares
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
1
0
Gaudreau
Tavares
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (389)
58.0% (914)
-13.0%
Power Play
31.8% (22)
57.0% (235)
-25.2%
Penalty Kill
37.6% (125)
57.9% (19)
-20.3%
On power play, Tavares has a +25.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Gaudreau is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (427).
Gaudreau shoots right. Tavares is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (402).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Tavares
Home
42.6% (277)
57.8% (614)
Away
42.9% (259)
57.8% (554)
By Period
Gaudreau
Tavares
P1
43.8%
58.0%
P2
44.8%
56.9%
P3
39.2%
58.4%
Final 5 min
46.7%
57.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
42.7%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
57.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 16:13 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 15:30 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 1 | 18:25 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 1 | 15:02 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 1 | 12:27 | Offensive | John Tavares |