Frederick Gaudreau vs Phil Varone
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Frederick Gaudreau holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Varone on neutral-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 48.6% vs Varone 47.7% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Varone 63.4%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 52.3%
Neutral zone
Varone 61.7%
Result
Phil Varone favored at 60.0%
40.0%
60.0%
Gaudreau
Varone
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
7
(8 meetings)
1
7
Gaudreau
Varone
Last 8: Gaudreau 1-7 Varone
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Varone
0
1
Gaudreau
Varone
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Varone
1
6
Gaudreau
Varone
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Varone
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (3,745)
47.5% (575)
+1.2%
Power Play
53.9% (219)
38.5% (13)
+15.4%
Penalty Kill
46.6% (789)
50.0% (2)
-3.4%
On power play, Gaudreau has a +15.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Varone shoots left. Gaudreau is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (3,473).
Gaudreau shoots right. Varone is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (225).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Varone
Home
49.2% (2,437)
48.0% (221)
Away
47.8% (2,316)
46.9% (369)
By Period
Gaudreau
Varone
P1
49.7%
50.0%
P2
47.3%
42.7%
P3
49.1%
50.0%
OT
36.7%
33.3%
Final 5 min
47.5%
44.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
48.6%
Varone
40.0%▼
50.5%
47.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2019 | 3 | 11:37 | Neutral | Phil Varone |
| Jan 1, 2019 | 2 | 12:20 | Neutral | Phil Varone |
| Jan 1, 2019 | 2 | 12:16 | Neutral | Phil Varone |
| Jan 1, 2019 | 2 | 12:14 | Neutral | Phil Varone |
| Jan 1, 2019 | 2 | 12:09 | Defensive | Phil Varone |
| Jan 1, 2019 | 2 | 12:03 | Neutral | Phil Varone |
| Jan 1, 2019 | 2 | 02:03 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 1, 2019 | 1 | 13:20 | Neutral | Phil Varone |