Frederick Gaudreau vs Robert Thomas
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Gaudreau wins 42.2% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 43.9% vs Thomas 51.7% (-9.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gaudreau 51.5%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 88.1%
Neutral zone
Gaudreau 70.6%
Result
Frederick Gaudreau favored at 61.1%
61.1%
38.9%
Gaudreau
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Gaudreau
Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
0
1
Gaudreau
Thomas
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thomas
0
1
Gaudreau
Thomas
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (389)
50.1% (615)
-5.1%
Power Play
31.8% (22)
62.2% (98)
-30.4%
Penalty Kill
37.6% (125)
52.6% (114)
-15.0%
On power play, Thomas has a +30.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Gaudreau is 42.2% vs right-shot opponents (109).
Gaudreau shoots right. Thomas is 52.4% vs right-shot opponents (254).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Thomas
Home
42.6% (277)
51.9% (374)
Away
42.9% (259)
51.9% (453)
By Period
Gaudreau
Thomas
P1
43.8%
49.2%
P2
44.8%
55.3%
P3
39.2%
50.6%
Final 5 min
46.7%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
42.7%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2026 | 2 | 16:55 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 2 | 07:07 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |