Frederick Gaudreau vs Ross Colton
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ross Colton holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Gaudreau wins 42.9% vs left-shot opponents — Colton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 43.9% vs Colton 48.5% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Colton 57.8%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 88.6%
Neutral zone
Gaudreau 69.0%
Result
Ross Colton favored at 57.8%
42.2%
57.8%
Gaudreau
Colton
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Gaudreau
Colton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Colton
0
2
Gaudreau
Colton
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Colton
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (389)
45.5% (88)
-0.5%
Power Play
31.8% (22)
71.4% (7)
-39.6%
Penalty Kill
37.6% (125)
0.0% (1)
+37.6%
On power play, Colton has a +39.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Colton shoots left. Gaudreau is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (427).
Gaudreau shoots right. Colton is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (39).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Colton
Home
42.6% (277)
44.7% (47)
Away
42.9% (259)
49.0% (49)
By Period
Gaudreau
Colton
P1
43.8%
52.8%
P2
44.8%
47.1%
P3
39.2%
38.5%
Final 5 min
46.7%
41.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
42.7%
Colton
44.0%▲
42.5%
46.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2025 | 3 | 14:25 | Offensive | Ross Colton |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 3 | 01:44 | Offensive | Ross Colton |