Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gauthier 53.8% vs Beagle 58.0% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Beagle 52.6%
Defensive zone
Beagle 68.6%
Neutral zone
Beagle 54.6%
Result
Jay Beagle favored at 59.4%
40.6%
59.4%
Gauthier
Beagle
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Gauthier
Beagle
Last 5: Gauthier 3-2 Beagle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gauthier
2
0
Gauthier
Beagle
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
0
2
Gauthier
Beagle
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gauthier
1
0
Gauthier
Beagle
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gauthier
Beagle
Edge
Even Strength
58.2% (263)
59.0% (458)
-0.8%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
84.2% (19)
+15.8%
Penalty Kill
46.6% (116)
57.2% (201)
-10.6%
On power play, Gauthier has a +15.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beagle shoots right. Gauthier is 52.4% vs right-shot opponents (168).
Gauthier shoots left. Beagle is 61.9% vs left-shot opponents (446).
Home / Away
Gauthier
Beagle
Home
60.0% (180)
62.7% (306)
Away
50.0% (200)
56.2% (372)
By Period
Gauthier
Beagle
P1
52.2%
64.5%
P2
57.5%
56.7%
P3
53.0%
56.2%
Final 5 min
47.6%
62.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gauthier
40.0%▼
45.0%
54.7%
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
59.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 29, 2020 | 3 | 02:19 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Feb 29, 2020 | 3 | 02:14 | Offensive | Frederik Gauthier |
| Feb 29, 2020 | 2 | 02:28 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Feb 29, 2020 | 2 | 02:24 | Offensive | Frederik Gauthier |
| Feb 29, 2020 | 1 | 02:45 | Neutral | Frederik Gauthier |