Scouting Report
Jordan Weal holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Gauthier on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gauthier 53.0% vs Weal 54.8% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Weal 85.5%
Defensive zone
Gauthier 59.3%
Neutral zone
Weal 68.5%
Result
Jordan Weal favored at 55.0%
45.0%
55.0%
Gauthier
Weal
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Gauthier
Weal
Last 7: Gauthier 5-2 Weal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Weal
0
1
Gauthier
Weal
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gauthier
4
0
Gauthier
Weal
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Gauthier
Weal
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gauthier
Weal
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (420)
55.4% (551)
-2.1%
Power Play
50.0% (8)
64.3% (42)
-14.3%
Penalty Kill
63.2% (19)
16.7% (6)
+46.5%
On penalty kill, Gauthier has a +46.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Weal shoots right. Gauthier is 49.0% vs right-shot opponents (143).
Gauthier shoots left. Weal is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (397).
Home / Away
Gauthier
Weal
Home
54.4% (237)
53.5% (269)
Away
52.9% (210)
57.3% (330)
By Period
Gauthier
Weal
P1
53.2%
60.9%
P2
57.8%
56.3%
P3
49.6%
49.5%
Final 5 min
53.9%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gauthier
40.0%▼
45.0%
53.7%
Weal
54.0%▲
48.5%
55.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2019 | 3 | 05:22 | Defensive | Frederik Gauthier |
| Apr 6, 2019 | 2 | 13:31 | Defensive | Frederik Gauthier |
| Apr 6, 2019 | 2 | 02:29 | Defensive | Frederik Gauthier |
| Feb 16, 2019 | 3 | 05:29 | Offensive | Jordan Weal |
| Feb 16, 2019 | 2 | 03:19 | Neutral | Jordan Weal |
| Feb 16, 2019 | 1 | 09:29 | Defensive | Frederik Gauthier |
| Feb 16, 2019 | 1 | 05:25 | Neutral | Frederik Gauthier |