Scouting Report
Frederik Gauthier holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Komarov on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Gauthier wins 55.9% vs left-shot opponents — Komarov shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gauthier 53.0% vs Komarov 47.2% (+8.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Komarov 84.9%
Defensive zone
Gauthier 67.4%
Neutral zone
Komarov 58.3%
Result
Leo Komarov favored at 58.6%
41.4%
58.6%
Gauthier
Komarov
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Gauthier
Komarov
Last 7: Gauthier 2-5 Komarov
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Komarov
0
2
Gauthier
Komarov
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gauthier
2
0
Gauthier
Komarov
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Komarov
0
3
Gauthier
Komarov
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gauthier
Komarov
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (420)
48.5% (163)
+4.8%
Power Play
50.0% (8)
0.0% (1)
+50.0%
Penalty Kill
63.2% (19)
25.0% (20)
+38.2%
On power play, Gauthier has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Komarov shoots left. Gauthier is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (304).
Gauthier shoots left. Komarov is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (114).
Home / Away
Gauthier
Komarov
Home
54.4% (237)
42.9% (84)
Away
52.9% (210)
48.0% (100)
By Period
Gauthier
Komarov
P1
53.2%
52.7%
P2
57.8%
48.5%
P3
49.6%
36.1%
Final 5 min
53.9%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gauthier
40.0%▼
45.0%
53.7%
Komarov
46.0%▲
42.0%
45.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2019 | 3 | 08:50 | Defensive | Frederik Gauthier |
| Apr 1, 2019 | 3 | 02:46 | Offensive | Leo Komarov |
| Apr 1, 2019 | 2 | 14:01 | Defensive | Frederik Gauthier |
| Apr 1, 2019 | 2 | 05:35 | Offensive | Leo Komarov |
| Apr 1, 2019 | 2 | 05:19 | Neutral | Leo Komarov |
| Apr 1, 2019 | 2 | 02:17 | Neutral | Leo Komarov |
| Apr 1, 2019 | 1 | 12:19 | Neutral | Leo Komarov |