Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.3% vs 47.3%). Look for Stajan on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Gauthier wins 44.7% vs left-shot opponents — Stajan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gauthier 48.6% vs Stajan 47.6% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gauthier 62.2%
Defensive zone
Stajan 68.7%
Neutral zone
Stajan 55.9%
Result
Matt Stajan favored at 53.9%
46.1%
53.9%
Gauthier
Stajan
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Gauthier
Stajan
Last 8: Gauthier 3-5 Stajan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stajan
1
2
Gauthier
Stajan
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stajan
1
2
Gauthier
Stajan
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Gauthier
Stajan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gauthier
Stajan
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (80)
47.8% (678)
-1.5%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
33.3% (9)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
51.9% (27)
45.5% (101)
+6.4%
On penalty kill, Gauthier has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stajan shoots left. Gauthier is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (85).
Gauthier shoots left. Stajan is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (473).
Home / Away
Gauthier
Stajan
Home
41.0% (83)
49.0% (392)
Away
66.7% (27)
45.7% (396)
By Period
Gauthier
Stajan
P1
51.2%
47.9%
P2
43.6%
49.8%
P3
46.7%
43.4%
Final 5 min
40.0%
46.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gauthier
40.0%▼
45.0%
47.3%
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
47.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2016 | 3 | 04:54 | Offensive | Frederik Gauthier |
| Mar 21, 2016 | 3 | 01:20 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Mar 21, 2016 | 3 | 01:08 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Mar 21, 2016 | 3 | 00:59 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Mar 21, 2016 | 2 | 16:46 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Mar 21, 2016 | 1 | 15:26 | Defensive | Frederik Gauthier |
| Mar 21, 2016 | 1 | 12:13 | Neutral | Frederik Gauthier |
| Mar 21, 2016 | 1 | 09:38 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |