Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +15.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Bonino on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gauthier 48.3% vs Bonino 52.5% (-15.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gauthier 67.7%
Defensive zone
Bonino 55.3%
Neutral zone
Gauthier 61.2%
Result
Frederik Gauthier favored at 64.4%
64.4%
35.6%
Gauthier
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Gauthier
Bonino
Last 6: Gauthier 2-4 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
0
3
Gauthier
Bonino
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gauthier
2
1
Gauthier
Bonino
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gauthier
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
37.5% (16)
54.9% (395)
-17.4%
On even strength, Bonino has a +17.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Gauthier is 33.3% vs left-shot opponents (15).
Gauthier shoots left. Bonino is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (469).
Home / Away
Gauthier
Bonino
Home
50.0% (10)
52.3% (363)
Away
16.7% (6)
53.4% (328)
By Period
Gauthier
Bonino
P1
42.9%
52.0%
P2
40.0%
56.1%
P3
25.0%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gauthier
40.0%▼
45.0%
37.5%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2021 | 2 | 03:50 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 1 | 12:31 | Neutral | Frederik Gauthier |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 1 | 08:48 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 1 | 02:31 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 1 | 02:13 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 1 | 02:07 | Neutral | Frederik Gauthier |