Scouting Report
Frederik Gauthier holds a +17.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Gauthier on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gauthier 53.0% vs Boyd 40.6% (+17.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gauthier 56.8%
Defensive zone
Gauthier 88.1%
Neutral zone
Gauthier 76.8%
Result
Frederik Gauthier favored at 78.4%
78.4%
21.6%
Gauthier
Boyd
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Gauthier
Boyd
Last 7: Gauthier 5-2 Boyd
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Boyd
0
1
Gauthier
Boyd
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gauthier
5
1
Gauthier
Boyd
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gauthier
Boyd
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (420)
36.1% (183)
+17.2%
Power Play
50.0% (8)
46.2% (13)
+3.8%
Penalty Kill
63.2% (19)
28.6% (14)
+34.6%
On penalty kill, Gauthier has a +34.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Boyd shoots right. Gauthier is 49.0% vs right-shot opponents (143).
Gauthier shoots left. Boyd is 34.4% vs left-shot opponents (154).
Home / Away
Gauthier
Boyd
Home
54.4% (237)
41.7% (115)
Away
52.9% (210)
29.5% (95)
By Period
Gauthier
Boyd
P1
53.2%
38.8%
P2
57.8%
30.3%
P3
49.6%
40.3%
Final 5 min
53.9%
28.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gauthier
40.0%▼
45.0%
53.7%
Boyd
50.0%▲
48.0%
36.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2019 | 3 | 19:27 | Neutral | Frederik Gauthier |
| Jan 23, 2019 | 3 | 10:34 | Defensive | Travis Boyd |
| Jan 23, 2019 | 3 | 10:15 | Neutral | Frederik Gauthier |
| Jan 23, 2019 | 3 | 02:10 | Neutral | Frederik Gauthier |
| Jan 23, 2019 | 2 | 16:19 | Neutral | Travis Boyd |
| Jan 23, 2019 | 2 | 13:11 | Neutral | Frederik Gauthier |
| Jan 23, 2019 | 2 | 08:16 | Neutral | Frederik Gauthier |