Scouting Report
Frederik Gauthier holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Gauthier on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Gauthier wins 55.9% vs left-shot opponents — Rask shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gauthier 53.0% vs Rask 47.9% (+6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rask 67.2%
Defensive zone
Gauthier 85.4%
Neutral zone
Gauthier 62.7%
Result
Frederik Gauthier favored at 67.5%
67.5%
32.5%
Gauthier
Rask
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Gauthier
Rask
Last 8: Gauthier 5-3 Rask
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rask
0
1
Gauthier
Rask
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gauthier
2
1
Gauthier
Rask
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gauthier
3
1
Gauthier
Rask
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gauthier
Rask
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (420)
46.6% (397)
+6.7%
Power Play
50.0% (8)
58.1% (31)
-8.1%
Penalty Kill
63.2% (19)
50.0% (2)
+13.2%
On penalty kill, Gauthier has a +13.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rask shoots left. Gauthier is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (304).
Gauthier shoots left. Rask is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (287).
Home / Away
Gauthier
Rask
Home
54.4% (237)
50.0% (202)
Away
52.9% (210)
45.2% (228)
By Period
Gauthier
Rask
P1
53.2%
51.1%
P2
57.8%
43.2%
P3
49.6%
48.5%
Final 5 min
53.9%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gauthier
40.0%▼
45.0%
53.7%
Rask
60.0%▲
49.5%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2018 | 2 | 05:35 | Neutral | Frederik Gauthier |
| Dec 11, 2018 | 2 | 02:15 | Neutral | Frederik Gauthier |
| Dec 11, 2018 | 1 | 08:20 | Defensive | Frederik Gauthier |
| Dec 11, 2018 | 1 | 01:29 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Nov 21, 2018 | 3 | 19:51 | Defensive | Victor Rask |
| Nov 21, 2018 | 3 | 19:32 | Defensive | Frederik Gauthier |
| Nov 21, 2018 | 3 | 19:22 | Neutral | Frederik Gauthier |
| Nov 21, 2018 | 1 | 12:04 | Offensive | Victor Rask |