Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Handemark on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Handemark 49.7% vs Nosek 51.3% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nosek 51.9%
Defensive zone
Handemark 55.0%
Neutral zone
Handemark 54.4%
Result
Fredrik Handemark favored at 52.6%
52.6%
47.4%
Handemark
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Handemark
Nosek
Last 6: Handemark 2-4 Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
0
2
Handemark
Nosek
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Handemark
2
1
Handemark
Nosek
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nosek
0
1
Handemark
Nosek
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Handemark
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (58)
52.7% (355)
-4.4%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
44.0% (25)
+56.0%
On penalty kill, Handemark has a +56.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Handemark is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (37).
Handemark shoots left. Nosek is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (269).
Home / Away
Handemark
Nosek
Home
83.3% (12)
52.8% (214)
Away
40.4% (47)
50.3% (173)
By Period
Handemark
Nosek
P1
50.0%
54.2%
P2
52.2%
53.1%
P3
43.8%
46.4%
Final 5 min
60.0%
52.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Handemark
48.0%▬
49.2%
49.2%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
51.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2021 | 3 | 12:19 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 17, 2021 | 3 | 10:03 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 17, 2021 | 2 | 03:01 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 15, 2021 | 2 | 06:29 | Defensive | Fredrik Handemark |
| Mar 15, 2021 | 2 | 02:13 | Defensive | Fredrik Handemark |
| Mar 15, 2021 | 2 | 02:03 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |