Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.0% vs 55.1%). Look for Dowling on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Dumont wins 55.3% vs left-shot opponents — Dowling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dumont 53.5% vs Dowling 52.1% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dowling 54.7%
Defensive zone
Dumont 69.5%
Neutral zone
Dowling 53.9%
Result
Justin Dowling favored at 53.9%
46.1%
53.9%
Dumont
Dowling
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Dumont
Dowling
Last 5: Dumont 0-5 Dowling
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowling
0
5
Dumont
Dowling
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dumont
Dowling
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (197)
55.2% (67)
-1.9%
Power Play
80.0% (5)
100.0% (1)
-20.0%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (40)
0.0% (1)
+60.0%
On penalty kill, Dumont has a +60.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowling shoots left. Dumont is 55.3% vs left-shot opponents (152).
Dumont shoots right. Dowling is 64.0% vs right-shot opponents (25).
Home / Away
Dumont
Dowling
Home
62.1% (116)
50.0% (16)
Away
48.4% (126)
56.6% (53)
By Period
Dumont
Dowling
P1
57.1%
45.0%
P2
56.5%
51.9%
P3
53.0%
68.2%
Final 5 min
61.9%
76.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dumont
34.0%▼
44.0%
55.0%
Dowling
54.0%▲
49.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2017 | 3 | 05:43 | Neutral | Justin Dowling |
| Apr 2, 2017 | 2 | 15:52 | Neutral | Justin Dowling |
| Apr 2, 2017 | 2 | 10:57 | Neutral | Justin Dowling |
| Apr 2, 2017 | 2 | 01:49 | Neutral | Justin Dowling |
| Apr 2, 2017 | 1 | 11:27 | Neutral | Justin Dowling |